Figure likely to dictate rise in state pension triple lock, as workers face inflation squeeze fuelled by oil price rises Business live – latest updates Wage growth in the UK has slowed as workers come under pressure from a renewed cost of living squeeze fuelled by the Iran war, highlighting the challenge for the Bank of England as it prepares to set interest rates. Figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show average growth in total earnings, including bonuses, eased to 3.
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World
Coverage from THEGUARDIAN.COM, THEINTERCEPT.COM, and NPR.ORG. Discussion via NEWS.YCOMBINATOR.COM.
14 stories
Latest reading on Wednesday likely to frame scale of challenge for new PM to ease pressures on households amid Iran war fallout British households are facing a renewed cost of living squeeze, with official figures expected to show this week that soaring energy bills drove up inflation in July to close to 3%. As the Iran war continues to send shock waves through global energy markets, economists predict the surge in UK gas and electricity bills last month will push Britain’s headline inflation rate to 2.
GDP expanded by 0. 4% in three months to June, but analysts warn growth is ‘likely to fade’ UK economy shows surprising resilience Business live – latest updates Economic growth slowed in the second quarter of the year, as the disruption unleashed by the Iran war began to take its toll, official figures show.
UN forecasters warn of worsening conditions in 45 countries currently experiencing severe food insecurity About 50 million people are likely to be...
Environment minister says Australia has ‘long and difficult journey’ and says more mass mortality events likely Get our breaking news email , free...
Experts warn global energy market at a ‘critical juncture’ with escalating Middle East crisis expected to further drag on a slowing Australian...
UK police adviser in the early 2000s and global consultant in ‘no-body’ homicide cases says he has narrowed down the outback search area • Peter...
Economists warn continued airstrikes could push oil prices beyond US$100 a barrel, increasing chance of further RBA rate hike Resurgent oil and fuel...
Licence would be diplomatic coup for Kyiv but process of making munitions would likely be expensive, complex and long Donald Trump has told Volodymyr Zelenskyy that Ukraine may be allowed to manufacture Patriot missile interceptors to counter Russian ballistic attacks. It would be a diplomatic coup for Kyiv, which has been struggling to counter Moscow’s increasing missile threat.
Tehran believes it should control the shipping route but its neighbour has its own plans for reopening it The strait of Hormuz is Iran’s chief bargaining tool in the negotiations with the US and so it was always likely to be the greatest point of contention. Every inch of the 24-mile-wide waterway is being contested in a test of wills and patience.
Eastern Europe to see temperatures above early July average into next week The extreme heat experienced across central and western Europe, including the UK, will continue to shift eastwards. As slightly cooler weather infiltrates into western Europe, with risks of downpours and thunderstorms, eastern Europe is likely to see temperatures several degrees above the early July average into next week.
Expansion could also hit access to housing, education, healthcare, open spaces and transport, analysis says Construction of a third runway at...
President Trump's G7 summit meetings with world leaders conclude in a news conference, with questions likely to address an uncertain agreement to end war with Iran and U.S. support for Ukraine.
Technology
Coverage from THEGUARDIAN.COM, BBC.CO.UK, and RESPONSIBLESTATECRAFT.ORG. Discussion via NEWS.YCOMBINATOR.COM and REDDIT.COM.
13 stories

Scientists say the growing El Niño weather pattern is an "unprecedented event" and means 2027 is likely to be the world's hottest year on record.
The collapse was caused by a landslide, while local officials say the death toll is likely to rise as recovery efforts continue More than 100 people have died after an artisanal goldmine at a small village in western Central African Republic (CAR) caved in due to a landslide, local officials and aid workers said on Wednesday. The landslide happened on Tuesday afternoon in the village of Zamboye, about 50km (31 miles) from the town of Baboua and close to the border of Cameroon.
In today’s newsletter: The women most at risk of violence are often the least likely to be heard – the murder of two sex workers shows why that must change Good morning. Last week, Simon Levy, a registered sex offender, was sentenced to a rare whole life tariff for the murders of Carmenza Valencia-Trujillo and Sheryl Wilkins.
‘A great deal of public opposition is likely’ to a proposed datacentre near Edinburgh, the force says Police in Scotland have issued a stark warning...
When it comes to the Reserve Bank, there’s a whiff of a parent making a threat they have no intention of carrying out Get our breaking news email , free app or daily news podcast Every parent makes threats in an effort to get their kids to behave – and every parent hopes they won’t have to follow through. Some (most.
British and Germans themselves share stereotype but other nationalities are likelier to put out towels – or umbrellas Germans are sunlounger hoggers, or so the longstanding stereotype goes. But not only is that cultural trope mostly confined to British – and, even more so, German – perceptions, surprising new data reveals that in fact Italian and French holidaymakers are the ones most likely to use their towel to stake their claim to a sunlounger.
Latest study says global heating has made hot, dry and windy conditions in Spain at least 20 times more likely The extreme heat and drought stoking huge wildfires in Spain and France were made far more likely by the climate crisis, a scientific analysis has found. Global heating made hot, dry and windy weather at least 20 times more likely in Spain and twice as likely in France, experts from the World Weather Attribution (WWA) consortium calculated.
Nostalgic foods like toad-in-the-hole also in demand at Waitrose as people pivot towards familiarity amid climatic and political upheaval Forget a crisp salad and glass of chilled rosé. Enervated Britons are seemingly more likely to crave a rich cottage pie and a robust red in heatwaves.

Canada are making history at this World Cup with a run that is likely to change the face of football in the country forever.
West Sussex reports temperature of 35. 8C, beating previous record from 1976; red weather alert extended to 72 of France’s 96 mainland departments Grahame Madge, a Met Office spokesperson, said the agency is forecasting 39C as a headline maximum temperature on Thursday in the UK, most likely for somewhere in London or the south-east.
Politics
Coverage from THEGUARDIAN.COM and BBC.CO.UK.
12 stories
UK general secretaries had been split on issue but sources say they are likely to back strong words calling for action Trade unions are set to launch an intervention on Tuesday on political donations after the head of Britain’s trade union movement, Paul Nowak, said the government must act to “stop the super-rich corrupting our politics. ” Union leaders met on Monday to discuss possible support for a domestic cap on donations.

The Trump administration is said to be unbothered by the Israeli prime minister's rejection of the deal, viewing it as campaign rhetoric ahead of a general election.

While US President Donald Trump has said Iran is not to blame, cyber experts tell the BBC it likely the attack was at the hands of the Iran.
Country risks new tariffs from US and EU as it looks likely to match or beat last year’s record surplus of $1tn Business live – latest updates...
Roaming charges also scrapped and trading terms continue for medicines, cars, art, jewellery and other goods British nationals can expect shorter passport queues at Swiss airports and border crossings after a £5. 2bn trade deal was sealed by Keir Starmer, likely his last big international agreement as prime minister.
Prime minister holds no ‘personal animosity’ toward likely successor and stresses he has a platform to build on Keir Starmer has said Labour “should...
Prime minister also speaks of his ‘intensely personal decision’ to step down in first interview since resigning Keir Starmer has warned his likely...
Jérémie Queyras, 28, created painting over months of sessions at his studio where pair struck up unlikely bond Over months they met secretly in a studio in the government quarter of central Berlin – a young artist and his subject, the former German chancellor Angela Merkel. For hours at a time, while Jérémie Queyras painted her portrait, they bonded, Merkel has said, chatting “about all and sundry”.

Experts say Trump is likely to ignore it, but that even though it carries little power, it is politically significant.
In today’s newsletter: Correspondents across the UK reveal the challenges that Labour’s newest MP will face from day one in the job Good morning. It seems inevitable that Andy Burnham will become the UK’s seventh prime minister in a decade, after Keir Starmer announced his resignation on Monday morning and, hours later, Burnham’s most likely challenger, Wes Streeting, rowed in behind the former mayor of Greater Manchester.
Former health secretary decides not to run, making Burnham overwhelming favourite to succeed Keir Starmer as soon as July UK politics live – latest updates Wes Streeting has said he will back Andy Burnham to become the next Labour leader, making it highly likely that Burnham, the former Greater Manchester mayor, will replace Keir Starmer as prime minister in July. In a post on X , Burnham, who will be sworn in as an MP later on Monday after winning last week’s Makerfield byelection , said Starmer’s announcement on Monday that he would stand down as prime minister “marks the beginning of a transition and it is important that this process is conducted in an orderly and responsible way”, adding: “I will put myself forward as part of this process.
Exclusive: Tourism minister says another likely record year of visitor growth is not a worry amid move to welcome tourists out of season and market...
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